The second in a series of national youth opinion polls conducted by Hamilton College students and faculty Complete Report
Recent decades have seen
significant declines in political participation and growing levels of
political mistrust. Perhaps most disturbing, these declines have been
most pronounced among young Americans. For example, according to U.S.
Census data, in 1972 nearly half (49.6 percent) of 18-24 year olds
voted in the presidential election. By the 1996 election, voter turnout
among this group had fallen by nearly one-third, to only 32.4 percent.
Many people looking at such data believe that young Americans are
apathetic and disengaged from American politics.
Dismayed by
these arguments, a group of Hamilton College students organized NY2K, a
website designed to inform their peers about the 2000 New York U.S.
Senate race between Hillary Clinton and Rick Lazio. In addition, they
developed a national survey of 18-24 year olds to better understand
young people's attitudes about politics, and perhaps to find ways to
increase their political participation.
This project was made
possible by the generous support of the Arthur Levitt Public Affairs
Center at Hamilton College in Clinton, NY, which has conducted several
national surveys of young people's attitudes. The polling firm of Zogby
International of Utica, NY, conducted the survey. Survey Methodology
Zogby
International contacted 402 randomly selected persons between the ages
of 18 and 24 from October 13-18. The Hamilton College students of NY2K
composed the survey instrument. The margin of error for the full sample
was +/- 6 percent.
Major Findings
In contrast to many suggestions that 18-24 year olds are
alienated from politics, the survey shows most young people are
involved in and aware of politics. For example, 88.1 percent of those
surveyed said that they were registered to vote and 76.9 percent said
that they were likely to vote in national elections. 61.7 percent said
that they followed political news some of the time and 29.4 percent
said that they followed it all of the time.
Sizeable minorities also indicated even more extensive links to
politics. 29.1 percent said that they have considered going into
politics and 22.4 percent said that they had volunteered for a
political campaign.
95 percent of young people surveyed indicated that issues were
very important in deciding how they would vote. In contrast, only small
minorities said celebrity endorsements (2.2 percent), the candidates'
race (5.2 percent), or the candidates' physical appearance (6.2
percent) were very important to them.
Given the importance of issues to young people, education was by
far their greatest concern (27.1 percent), followed by Social Security
(9.0 percent), and abortion (4.5 percent).
When asked about various reasons for young peoples' lack of
political participation, 33.6 percent strongly agreed that politicians
did not pay enough attention to young peoples' concerns, and 32.1
percent strongly agreed that negative campaigning turned off young
people. In contrast, only 7.2 percent strongly agreed that young people
found politics too complicated, and only 15.2 percent strongly agreed
that young people were too apathetic.
Our survey also profiled the young people most involved in
politics and those least involved. To determine these categories,
respondents were asked a series of questions about their attachment to
politics. They were:
Are you registered to vote?
Are you likely to vote in national elections?
Have you considered going into politics?
How often do you follow political news?
Have you ever volunteered for a political campaign?
Based on their responses to these questions, respondents
could score anywhere from 5 to 12 points, with 5 being the most engaged
in politics and 12 being the least engaged in politics. "Civics" were
those most involved with politics and included those respondents who
scored 5 or 6. This included 83 respondents or 20.5 percent of the
sample. "Disengaged" were those least involved in politics and included
those who scored 9 or more. This included 90 respondents or 22.4
percent of the sample.
"Civics" were more likely to be men (62.7 percent) than women
(37.3 percent), while the "Disengaged" were 58.9 percent women and 41.1
percent men.
"Civics" were more likely to belong to a political party (77.1
percent) than the "Disengaged," most of whom (58.9 percent) considered
themselves independents or weren't sure about their political
affiliation.
Nearly all the "Civics" (92.8 percent) had at least some college, compared to only 68.9 percent of the "Disengaged."
When asked about possible methods to increase the political
participation of young people, 72.9 percent believed having politicians
pay more attention to young peoples' issues would help a lot, and 70.4
percent encouraged more education about politics in the schools.
The survey indicated that Green Party candidate Ralph Nader has a
relatively strong appeal among young people. When asked for whom they
would vote in a race with all candidates on the ballot, 11.7 percent
supported Nader. Nader's support jumped to 21.1 percent among those who
declared themselves as political independents or unsure about their
party affiliation.
Overall, in a question that asked who they would vote for in the
Presidential election, George W. Bush led with 44.5 percent, with 32.8
percent for Al Gore, and 1.5 percent for Pat Buchanan.
When asked which politician the individual favored, Bill Clinton
(7.9%), George W. Bush (7.1 percent), Ralph Nader (6.3 percent), Al
Gore (4.2 percent), and Jesse Ventura (4.2 percent) were ranked the
highest among young voters.
The survey also found a sizable difference among young people
according to their party. For example, 19.4 percent of Democrats and
22.4 percent of independents said that a candidate's gender was at
least somewhat important to them, compared to 37.3 percent of
Republicans. When asked about a candidate's sexual orientation, 23.2
percent of Democrats and 36.1 percent of independents said that this
was at least somewhat important, compared to 88 percent of Republicans.
When asked about a candidate's religion, 26.5 percent of Democrats and
28.8 percent of independents said that this was at least somewhat
important, compared to 65 percent of Republicans.
Conclusion
This survey should be
a wake-up call for all who believe that young people lack an interest
in political participation. Our results show that while many young
Americans hold cynical views of politics, they are not completely
alienated from the political system, and the majority of them are
concerned about issues and the future of the government. Furthermore, a
significant number of young people express a desire to go into politics
and have volunteered for political campaigns. Finally, most young
Americans believe that they and their peers would participate more in
politics if candidates spoke to the issues that concerned them and if
more attention was paid to politics in the schools. This is also
reinforced by our analysis of the "Civics" and the "Disengaged," since
the former were much more likely to have at least some college
education than the latter.
NY2K: Political Attitudes of Young Americans
Developed by:
Philip Klinkner, the James S. Sherman Associate Professor of Government
Karl Bressler '01
Ben Pastor '01
Brendan Ferretti '01
Paul Jones '03
Maurice Michaane '03
Brian Miller '02
John O'Keeffe '01
Peter Ringel '01
Cristen Sargent '01
Sara Weinstein '02
David Zane '02
Conducted in collaboration with:
Zogby International
Supported by:
The Arthur Levitt Public Affairs Center at Hamilton College