Alan Cafruny
An opinion piece by Alan Cafruny, the Henry Platt Bristol Professor of International Relations, was published by the Valdai Discussion Club on Oct. 12. “Could the Next U.S. President Let the TPP Fail?” focused on how the outcome of the presidential election could affect the future of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Cafruny said that if President Obama is not able to pass the TPP before he leaves office, a victory by Donald Trump in the November election “would certainly lead to a long period of uncertainty with respect to U.S. trade policy.” In contrast, Cafruny opined, a win by Hillary Clinton “would likely lead to new efforts to revive it in 2017 after the dust has settled.” He said the ratification of “the TPP would facilitate the deepening of Asian and Pacific economic integration with the United States on American terms and compel China to reform and liberalize its economy in ways that would benefit U.S. banks and corporations.” According to its website, the Valdai Discussion Club engages in “practical work aimed at forming the global agenda and delivering a qualified and objective assessment of global political and economic issues.” Since its founding in 2004, “more than 1,000 representatives of the international scholarly community from 63 countries have taken part in the Club’s work.”

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